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2015 Week 16 Playoff Picture

Discussion in 'Quality Simulation Football' started by LtJustice, Dec 29, 2013.

  1. LtJustice

    LtJustice QSF Commissioner

    Jul 22, 2010

    2015 Season - Week 16
    Playoff Picture

    With the 2015 season coming to a close, there is still quite a bit undecided across The Q when it comes to the upcoming post season. Here we will take a look at each division and the wild card possibilities for each conference.



    Cleveland Browns (12-2) - dablakpope *CLINCHED*

    The Browns kept the momentum going after the 2014 Super Bowl victory and tore through The Q this season. With 2 games left to play, the Browns have locked up their division as well as the top seed in the AFC, guaranteeing themselves a first round bye and home field advantage throughout the playoffs.


    Indianapolis Colts (11-4) - thafuture3886
    Jacksonville Jaguars (10-5) - CHUNKNESS

    It doesn't get much better than this, the AFC South will come down to a final winner take all game in week 17 for the division crown as these two teams will settle things on the gridiron. The Jaguars came out victorious in the first game between these two rivals in their week 5 match-up. Another victory here would give the Jags the season sweep and the tie breaker to earn them the division championship. A Colts victory would not only give them the AFC South title, but also would guarantee themselves a first round bye as the #2 seed in the AFC. Should be an exciting game!


    New York Jets (9-5) - klaximilian
    Miami Dolphins (9-5) - DJDunn6

    The AFC East is still up for grabs between the Dolphins and Jets, unfortunately these teams have already played, and split, their games this season, so no winner take all match-up here. The Dolphins play a very important game against the Patriots in week 16, as a Miami victory would give the Dolphins the ever important tie-breaker over the Jets with a better division record. Will this division be decided in week 16 (a Dolphins win and a Jets loss) or will it come down to the last week of the season? Let's just hope there is a decisive tie-breaker, so we don't have to find out the hard way if EA finally got the more advanced tie-breaker formula correct.


    Los Angeles Raiders (9-5) - Hulk_hagen_55 *CLINCHED*

    While the Raiders control their own destiny here, nothing is written in stone yet. The Broncos swept the Raiders this season, to hold the tie-breaker over their bitter rivals. The only hope for the Broncos in this division race is to win their last two games and to have the Raiders lose their last 2. While the odds don't appear to be in the Broncos favor, anything can happen in The Q. Simply put for the Raiders, win even one of your final games and you lock up the division crown. EDIT: With the Broncos loss to the Chargers, the Raiders have clinched the AFC West and the Broncos have been eliminated from postseason contention.


    Indianapolis Colts (11-4)

    The Colts are obviously first and foremost worried about winning their division. But should they fall to the Jags in week 17, the wild card will be their fall back option. The Colts are guaranteed at least a Wild Card, because the Dolphins and Ravens play in week 17, so one of those teams will have to lose another game.

    Jacksonville Jaguars (10-5)

    Like the Colts, the Jaguars are focused one winning in week 17 and securing their division title. If they lose to the Colts, they finish at 10-6 and still have a shot at the Wild Card. Unfortunately for the Jaguars, they have lost head to head games against the Jets, Dolphins, and Ravens this year. Their only hope for a Wild Card, should they lose in week 17, is to see the Ravens and the Jets lose both of their remaining games. The odds are definitely stacked against the Jaguars and a Wild Card birth, they need to take care of business and win the South.

    Miami Dolphins (9-5)

    Once again, a team that is focused on winning their division. The Dolphins control their own destiny, but if they fail to win the AFC East, how do they fair for the Wild Card? If the Colts win the AFC South, the Dolphins need just one more win (and a Ravens loss) to guarantee a playoff birth. If the Jags win the South, the Dolphins need to defeat the Ravens in week 17 to secure the Wild Card (if they don't win their division).

    New York Jets (9-5)

    A common theme in this list, the Jets are concerned with winning their division first and foremost. Unlike the others in that situation, the Jets do not control their own destiny and need some help. They are in much the same situation as the rival Dolphins here.

    Baltimore Ravens (9-5) - Josh Barnes

    The Ravens are the only Wild Card hopeful not in contention for their division. A Wild Card birth is their only hope to make the postseason. They have a huge week 17 game against the Dolphins that is practically a must win. If they win that game, they are in the playoffs. If they win out, they get the 5th spot, as they would have the best conference record in the AFC. If the Ravens lose out, they would also need to see the Jets lose out, as the Ravens would get the tie breaker, and the Wild Card Birth, based on a better conference record. If they beat the Browns, but lose to the Dolphins, they could be left on the outside looking in, should the Jets win out and the Jaguars beat the Colts.

    As you can see, there are still many moving parts in the AFC Post Season hunt. Can't wait to see how it pans out.



    Detroit Lions (8-6) - heathh
    Brooklyn Vikings (8-7) - Juan Valencia

    The Lions need just win one of their last 2 games, both against division rivals, to clinch the division Championship, as they would ensure they finish with a better division record than the Vikings. The Vikings only hope at an NFC North crown is to win their final game and see the Lions lose both of their games.


    Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-5) - Jeremy
    Carolina Panthers (9-6) - VinfortheWin
    Atlanta Falcons (8-6) - MrWitness36

    The only division with 3 teams still in contention at this point of the season. The Falcons seemed to come out of nowhere late in the season to be in the post season talk. The Buccaneers are very much in control, as they simply need to win one more game and they are the NFC South Champions. The Bucs can win out to not only lock up the championship, but a first round bye as well. The Panthers only shot, after losing their week 16 game to the Eagles, is to see the Bucs lose out and the Falcons lose at least one of their final two games. Similarly, the Falcons only hope is win their final two games and see Tampa Bay lose their final two. The Buccaneers are in the driver's seat, but the book has yet to be closed on the NFC South title chase.


    New York Giants (11-4) - cry_havoc *CLINCHED*

    With their week 16 victory over the Steelers, the Giants officially clinched the NFC East championship. One more win, or a Buccaneers loss, gives them a first round bye. They still have a shot at the #1 seed as well, should the Seahawks not finish with a better record than the Giants (and the Bucs lose a game).


    Seattle Seahawks (11-3) - LtJustice
    Arizona Cardinals (9-5) - Miki1369

    The Seattle Seahawks need only one more win, or a Cardinals loss, to lock up the NFC West championship. A win out, or one win and a Giants loss, would lock up the #1 seed in the NFC. If the Seahawks lose, and the Cardinals win, in week 16, things get really interesting as these teams meet in week 17. The Cardinals already defeated the Seahawks in week 10, and have the opportunity for a sweep in week 17. If the Seahawks want no part of a winner takes all game, they need to take care of business against the rival 49ers in week 16. If the Cardinals want a shot at the title, they need to play their hearts out against the Bears in week 16 and cheer for the rival Niners against the Hawks. Could be a very exciting week 17 match-up, but something tells me that Seattle would much rather have things wrapped up before the Cards come to town.


    Seattle Seahawks (11-3)

    The Seahawks have their eye on the NFC West crown and a first round bye. If they lose out on the division title; they are still guaranteed a Wild Card birth, but what a difference that would be.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-5)

    The Bucs want to win out for the NFC South title, and one win does it for them. Should they lose out in their final two games, the Wild Card picture gets a little murky for them. They would then be sitting at 9-7 with a 8-5 conference record.

    Arizona Cardinals (9-5)

    If the Cardinals can win out, if they don't win the NFC West championship, they would be guaranteed a Wild Card birth, and the #5 seed, at 11-5. The Cardinals would lose a tiebreaker with the Lions and Vikings at this point.

    Philadelphia Eagles (9-6) Coach KO

    The Eagles won a big week 16 game against the Panthers, to get closer to a Wild Card birth. Winning their week 17 match-up against the Steelers would sure help their cause; while not a must win, it's pretty close. They hold the tie-breaker against the Panthers and Falcons, but would lose out against the Bucs.

    Carolina Panthers (9-6)

    With the loss to the Eagles, their playoff light is dimming. While still in contention for the NFC South crown, their Wild Card hopes are on equally shaky ground. They would currently lose a tie-breaker to the Falcons and Eagles.

    Atlanta Falcons (8-6)

    Another team in contention for the NFC South. They would essentially need to win out to guarantee a post season birth, division or not. They would lose a tie-breaker to the Eagles and Bucs, and hold the upper hand against the Panthers and Rams.

    Detroit Lions (8-6)

    Yet another team with one eye on their division and the other on the Wild Card. They hold the tie-breaker over the Cardinals, but would lose out to the Rams.

    Minnesota Vikings (8-7)

    Vikings are in a dead heat with the Lions in the NFC North. If it comes down to a Wild Card for them, they hold the edge against the Cardinals and Bucs, but not against the Rams.

    St. Louis Rams (7-7) Easy Dez It

    Basically they need to win their final two and hope everyone above them loses. They do hold the tiebreaker against the Vikings and Lions. If they do win out and the Eagles and Panthers both lose out, the Rams would appear to hold the tie-breakers over them as well.

    And we thought the AFC was confusing. A lot to be decided yet in the NFC!


    There you have it everyone, as convoluted and confusing as ever. Please don't take anything I say about tie-breakers as set in stone, as we all know know EA loves to mess with us in that department. Good luck to everyone still vying for a post-season birth!
    • Like Like x 9
  2. heathh

    heathh Walk On

    Jul 17, 2013
    Great Write up Jim! Took a lot of work, but very fun to read this stuff!
    • Like Like x 1
  3. redlishus

    redlishus PMFL Staff - El Guesser

    Jul 22, 2010
    Wow nice job Jim
    • Like Like x 1
  4. thafuture3886

    thafuture3886 Power Rankings Analyst

    Jul 23, 2010
    Good stuff Jim! Can't wait until week 17!
    • Like Like x 1
  5. cry_havoc

    cry_havoc Walk On

    Jul 27, 2012
    Very solid...the time thats put into this is very respected.

    thumbs up :D
    • Like Like x 1

    CHUNKNESS Commissioner Quality Simulation Football

    Jun 13, 2010
    Every season is like this. Love that it comes down to the final week; and hoping for accurate seeding within the CFM itself. Thx for putting together all of the scenarios Jim. Makes it that much more fun for the rest of the league to watch; just like the NFL. :)
    • Like Like x 1
  7. klaximilian

    klaximilian Walk On

    Apr 14, 2010
    GJ Jimbo. These last two weeks are going to be wild.
    • Like Like x 2
  8. Michael Overman

    Michael Overman Walk On

    Jul 31, 2012
    Nice Jim!

    BOL to all...special shoutout to my AFC East homies klaximilian DJDunn6

    Nice to see the NFC South doing so well
    • Like Like x 2
  9. Josh Barnes

    Josh Barnes Walk On

    Aug 12, 2013
    Great stuff! Appreciate the detailed content!
    • Like Like x 1
  10. MrWitness36

    MrWitness36 Walk On

    Mar 1, 2012
    Good content work commish (y)
    • Like Like x 1
  11. klaximilian

    klaximilian Walk On

    Apr 14, 2010
    The plot thickens…

    Jets escaped by a pubic hair (probably from a hairy ass) and the Dolphins took a big hit vs the Pats. Looks like the Ravens/Dolphins will duke it out for a playoff spot in week 17. I'm not entirely sure I clinched anything yet either way, with the way EA likes to fudge the tiebreakers.

    Should get interesting.
    • Like Like x 2
  12. Miki1369

    Miki1369 Walk On

    Jul 24, 2010
    great job my man, very detail breakdown... the great thing is there are a lot of teams still in the hunt for a playoff spot and 1st round byes.

    Since the Hawks beat the 49ers already and have clinched the NFC West, Heres to hope that the Hawks play their backups on week 17
    • Like Like x 1
  13. AveryB

    AveryB Walk On

    Jul 22, 2010
    Great Read...Good luck to those that make the Playoffs.(y)(y)
    • Like Like x 2
  14. VinfortheWin

    VinfortheWin Walk On

    Aug 14, 2013
    Not a way to end the season i think on a 3 game losing steak, put a fork in the panthers we are done! Saints with a solid game and great DEF. EJ playing like he is in his PJs. Car def held NO to a few fg in the redzone but couldnt over come the turnovers.

    Tebow Time almost lead to a come back. but just wasnt in the cards.

    Good luck yall that are still in the hunt

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