Bubba's Playoff Predict-o-matic 1st Edition

Discussion in 'Thread Archive' started by Jbbubba, Oct 22, 2012.

  1. Jbbubba

    Jbbubba Walk On

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    Hello sports fans! Jbbubba here, and today I'm bringing you my newest creation, the Playoff Predict-omatic! This wonderful piece of technology will attempt to incorporate momentum, strength of schedule, and public opinion to determine who will make the playoffs and possibly win the Super Bowl. Teams with lower playoff factors (the result of the formula below) have a higher chance of making the playoffs based off of the data used. This is not an exact science, so their is going to be some controversy here, but I feel that it may invoke some debate on how teams are doing. Data from Week 12 is utilized to determine the factor, far enough out to be uncertain yet close enough to be relevant

    Formula Used:

    Playoff Factor = team winning % x streak factor + average division winning % (excluding team evaluated) + power ranking rank

    Streak Factor: 5 losses+ - 20
    4 losses - 17
    3 losses - 13
    2 losses - 10
    1 loss - 8
    1 win - 6
    2 wins - 5
    3 wins - 3
    4 wins - 1
    5 wins+ - 0.5
    (teams are listed in order of division ranking)
    NFC Conference:

    NFC North:
    Green Bay Packers - 14.10
    Minnesota Vikings - 9.83
    Detroit Lions - 19.57
    Chicago Bears - 21.60

    NFC South:
    Carolina Panthers - 13.17
    New Orleans Saints - 15.37
    Atlanta Falcons - 16.40
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 32.57

    NFC East:
    Dallas Cowboys - 8.07
    Philadelphia Eagles - 9.40
    Washington Redskins - 25.70
    New York Giants - 21.73

    NFC West:
    San Francisco 49ers - 5.73
    Arizona Cardinals - 29.47
    Seattle Seahawks - 30.50
    St. Louis Rams - 32.50

    AFC Conference:

    AFC North:
    Cleveland Browns - 18.30
    Pittsburgh Steelers - 23.53
    Baltimore Ravens - 29.87
    Cincinnati Bengals - 35.40

    AFC South:
    Houston Texans - 5.07
    Jacksonville Jaguars - 25.73
    Tennessee Titans - 31.33
    Indianapolis Colts - 29.47

    AFC East:
    New York Jets - 6.83
    New England Patriots - 9.57
    Miami Dolphins - 21.77
    Buffalo Bills - 33.23

    AFC West:
    Kansas City Chiefs - 1.90
    Oakland Raiders - 16.53
    San Diego Chargers - 25.60
    Denver Broncos - 31.67

    ----------------------------------------------
    Predicted Division Champions:
    NFC: Minnesota Vikings, Carolina Panthers, Dallas Cowboys, San Francisco 49ers
    AFC: Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, New York Jets, Kansas City Chiefs

    Predicted Wild Cards:
    NFC: Green Bay Packers, Philadelphia Eagles
    AFC: New England Patriots, Oakland Raiders

    Predicted Super Bowl Champion: Kansas City Chiefs
    --------------------------------

    Please discuss the predictions and explain what factors should be higher/lower and why?
     
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  2. majesty95

    majesty95 Show class, have pride, and display character.

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    I know we can figure it out, but predicting each round of the playoffs would be cool. Otherwise I don't see a lot to argue with. Pretty cool!
     
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  3. Jbbubba

    Jbbubba Walk On

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    Thanks! I couldn't figure out how to code the Predict-o-matic to predict playoff matchups...perhaps that says something about playoff games? ;)
     
  4. Ninersfan80

    Ninersfan80 Walk On

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    So the lower the number the better? IF so I am predicted to make it to the Super Bowl?
     
  5. bigtubb_

    bigtubb_ Walk On

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    Should my number be 1million+ lmao
     
  6. Jbbubba

    Jbbubba Walk On

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    Lol if you go on a 5 game losing streak and manage to get last in the power rankings I'm sure we could do that :p
    Yessir, you're predicted to make it all the way to the big game. The factor doesn't accurately predict playoff game outcomes, so its still a tossup, but based on everything thats happened its looking like that.
     
  7. YungLew15

    YungLew15 Walk On

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    Chiefs are overrated.
     
  8. majesty95

    majesty95 Show class, have pride, and display character.

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    The silent assassin
     
  9. Jbbubba

    Jbbubba Walk On

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    What makes you say that? :p
     
  10. Cole Copeland

    Cole Copeland Mr. Irrelevant

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    Saints underrated :rolleyes:
     
  11. majesty95

    majesty95 Show class, have pride, and display character.

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    Lol
     
  12. thoov08

    thoov08 Walk On

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    Interesting read. Sounds like I need to win next week against majesty95 to make sure he doesn't have the lowest number in our division anymore.
     
  13. majesty95

    majesty95 Show class, have pride, and display character.

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    [​IMG]
     
  14. Cole Copeland

    Cole Copeland Mr. Irrelevant

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    Hey now! No tampering with comments just beacuse you're all elite Commish status
     
  15. Jbbubba

    Jbbubba Walk On

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    I think you have just offended the entire population of Wisconsin with that image lol
    It would make you have the lowest number in the NFC North most likely. I'll try to do a playoff tree prediction around Week 15 as things heat up and we'll see what happens
     
  16. majesty95

    majesty95 Show class, have pride, and display character.

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    How's this? lol

    [​IMG]
     
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  17. Jbbubba

    Jbbubba Walk On

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    Lol throw a Bears logo on top of the state and all will be forgiven :p
     
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  18. coachgaddy

    coachgaddy Mega 49ers, OMFL Pats

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    Patriots predicted to lose the division and not win the AFC......interesting.
     
  19. Jbbubba

    Jbbubba Walk On

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    AFC's tough this year haha, a couple of wins will get that streak up and should change that
     
  20. majesty95

    majesty95 Show class, have pride, and display character.

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    Looks like we need an update :)
     
  21. LLCoolGrey

    LLCoolGrey Walk On

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    due to sandy it looks like the Chargers will need a miracle now to make the playoffs! Boooo...finish strong finish strong
     

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