I know I'm not someone who normally contributes articles and the like but as I'm deep in the promotion battle I am going to look up this sort of thing anyway. Also for purposes of this writing I am going to assume the change to drop all of Kerb's game although that is not official as of right now. As it stands I think Headache, Kerb, and Bryan are the only ones not in a particular battle. Cole can still climb out although he needs more then I thought he did. If we eliminate Kerb's games he is level on points with Merih although Merih would have a game in hand. However Liverpool will have Sevilla and Atletico and will need a shock result to stay up if Bayern can manage atleast a draw against Hamburg, Villareal, or Atletico. The table would be as follows: 1. Lyon 33 (12) 2.75 2. At. Madrid 21 (13) 1.62 3. Sevilla 19 (11) 1.72 4. Zenit 19 (13) 1.46 5. Hamburg 17 (12) 1.42 6. Villareal 16 (12) 1.33 7. Bayern 15 (13) 1.15 8. Liverpool 15 (14) 1.07 9. Valencia/Porto 7 (14) .5 10 Dortmund - N/A If you take the pace at which teams have been earning points (PPM) then Sevilla jumping Atletico would be the only changes. This also shows that the battle may come down to Atletico, Zenit, Hamburg, and Villareal as all 4 teams are within .3 PPM. However looking at the schedule shows Sevilla in a possibly precarious position despite their games in hand. So let's highlight some big games for the 5 clubs still in the tight battle for promotion Sevilla: Despite being my favorite to secure the second spot they still have to go through the likes of Lyon, Villareal, and Hamburg, three teams who still have a legitimate claim at promotion, as well as Liverpool who are in a fight to stay up and Porto who are capable of a shock result. There are no easy games in L1 in this season but Sevilla could very well find them selves with 19 points still after 2 or 3 games and lose their PPM advantage. At. Madrid: Madrid will have to deal with Hamburg who are looking to steal their spot in the top 3 as well as two teams locked in the relegation battle in Bayern and Liverpool. All 3 of these teams will be hungry for wins and will not back down from the challenge the Atletico presents. Zenit: Zenit find themselves with two big fixtures out of their final 3 with Lyon and Villareal standing in their way, as well as Porto. Zenit have been an up and down team all year so it's hard to predict these matches. I would honestly say they could get 9 but they could also very well get 0. Zenit have been a wild card but with their recent form I'd tip them for 6 points. Hamburg: Could this be the team who puts on a run in the final week to secure promotion? It certainly a possiblity playing both Sevilla and Atltico. These could be huge wins for them and hurt their promotion foes. They will however will have to face Lyon which could be tough and Bayern who will put up a strong fight to hold on to their L1 spot. Villareal: They also can do damage directly to teams above them when they face off against both Zenit and Sevilla, but also must contend with league leaders Lyon as well as a tough Bayern squad. They could see them selves quickly rising up the table if they can pull of some big wins down the stretch. So there will be some matches with big implications down the stretch as these 5 will meet atleast one team in the battle for promotion. Here are games to look out for Sevilla - Villareal Zenit 2 - 0 Villareal Hamburg 2 - 3 Atletico Sevilla 3 - 5 Hamburg 4 promotion contenders will also have to play current league leaders Lyon: Hamburg - Lost Sevilla - Lost Zenit - Drew Villareal - Lost 2 Promotion contenders also play the current bottom team: Sevilla Zenit - Draw These 10 games could go a long way of determining who goes up and who stays. Any win over an opponent in the race with you would be detrimental to them. Any points won against the top team would be huge and any lost to the last place team could also provide a huge change to your chances. Updates: C 1. Lyon 43 (16) P 2. At. Madrid 27 (15) 3. Zenit 24 (16) 4. Hamburg 20 (15) 5. Sevilla 19 (13) 6. Villareal 16 (14) 7. Bayern 15 (13) 8. Liverpool 15 (15) 9. Valencia/Porto 8 (15) 10 Dortmund - N/A Hamburg strikes a big victory over Sevilla, putting them selves in third with Sevilla a point behind but with a game in hand. If Sevilla lose to Villareal then we could see 3 teams on 19 points through 13 games in Sevilla, Villareal, and Zenit all waiting to pounce on a mistake by either Atletico or Hamburg. Lyon does damage to all of their opponents but Zenit manages to grab atleast 1 out of their game with Lyon after surrendering 2 too Porto the game before. And then there were two, with Hamburg's loss to Atletico and Zenit beating Villareal only Zenit and Sevilla are eligible for the final promotion spot. Atletico are no locks to go up.