Real Life: 17 Michigan St @ 18 Michigan Any predictions on this huge game this weekend from the peanut gallery? I am obviously biased, but if I were to give the most objective prediction I could I still see MSU winning this one, and I don't really think the final will be all that close. U of M has the nations worst pass defense (ranked 120) and they haven't even played a great offensive team yet. To date, their best defensive performance was against Bowling Green (holding them to 274 yards). However, Buffalo just held Bowling Green to 176 yards of total offense, so even that number by UofM isn't all that great. U of M is ranked 102 overall nationally in team defense. One thing that no one talks about it the fact the Michigan barely beat ND even though they were without their starting QB for an entire half. I don't think they win that game if Crist plays the whole game. When he came back for the 2nd half he tore UofM apart, however the team was already significantly behind. Michigan State has one of the most balanced attacks in the nation offensively. They ran for 175 yards against one of the nations best defenses in Wisconsin last week, while passing for 270. Defensively, they ended John Clay's 10 game streak with at least 100 yards rushing, holding him to 80 yards on 16 carries. The only reason the Wisconsin game was even close was due to 3 first half turnovers by MSU, yet they still went into halftime up 20-10. MSU's biggest weakness was supposed to be their secondary. They held Wisconsin QB Scott Tolzien to 127 yards as he completed less than half his passes. Last year, Tolzien threw for almost 300 yards on MSU and had 4 TDs. That brings me to the Denard Robinson factor. He is a great player, definitely one of the most dynamic players I've ever seen. I think MSU comes out and makes him beat them with his arm. MSU has 5 linebackers that would start at any school in the Big Ten, and I see them playing a 3-4 for most of the game as they did last year against UofM. Denard will find some running room, but he hasn't seen a rush defense even close to this one all season. Greg Jones might knock him out of the game as he did with Clay last week. I see Robinson rushing for around 100 yards and passing for just over 100, but unable to find as much room as he has against the likes of UMass, Bowling Green, Notre Dame, Connecticut, and Indiana (all who have terrible defenses). My prediction is the teams trade blows for the 1st half, but in the 2nd half MSU gets a two possession lead that they will have no problem hanging on to due to their running game and UoM's inability to stop anything. Denard might have some flashy plays, but I don't see him being able to win this one all by himself as he has against inferior opponents. MSU wins 38-21.