Season Five Home Stretch

Discussion in 'Thread Archive' started by Brogowicz, Sep 26, 2012.

  1. Brogowicz

    Brogowicz Walk On

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    Coming later today ...
     
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  2. Brogowicz

    Brogowicz Walk On

    Joined:
    Apr 20, 2011
    Messages:
    1,334
    We're heading into the end of season five (embracing the new format with Madden sharing time), so it's time to take a look at where we are and what each team has on the line for these last few games.

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    Despite losing early to Oregon and getting the shaft on a sim-loss to A&M, Bama (once again) finds themselves in the thick of things in the 5 spot. While the natty is likely out of reach (damn CPU!), another SEC title and a BCS bowl are very much in reach. Bama will need to get past rival Auburn first, though some critics are suggesting that Bama owns that rivalry.

    H2H: 1-1 (Auburn week 14)
    Progression: Bama would need to lose their last 2 to even come close to losing their elite status. Don't count on in.

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    This has been one of Auburn's most consistent years - mainly due to the absence of a CPU blowout loss with 12 INTs. The Tigers dropped their opener to defending champs USC and a second game to conference foe UGA while winning the rest of their games - including road wins over OU and LSU.

    H2H: 0-2 (Alabama week 14)
    Progression: At #14, Auburn is in good shape to move up to their 5th star, but will need to win their bowl game and possibly the Iron bowl as well.

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    The Gators almost fell off the wagon in week 8 after a loss to Miami, but rallied to stick things out and, in doing so, now find themselves heading back to the SEC title game. An early loss to Stanford accounted for their first loss, but a rebound win over UGA in week 10 secured the division.

    H2H: 1-2
    Progression: UF regained their elite status last year and is in no risk of losing that this year.

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    Despite the heavy NCAA sanctions, the Bulldogs have moved forward and have pieced together another solid campaign. Losses to Florida and Bama in the middle of the year derailed bigger plans for UGA after an early win over pseudo-rival MSU (the first ever for Coach Moore) had Bulldog fans thinking about titles. Watch out for the GaTech rematch in week 14.

    H2H: 1-2
    Progression: After taking a beating last season, UGA is in great shape at #10 to earn back their 5th star.
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    After years of struggling, the U has finally put it together. They enter week 14 at 11-0 and #2 in the nation. They have UNC and then (likely) Clemson in the ACC game. If they can win those two games, Coach Unit will make his first title game appearance. The U took down Michigan early and then fought through tough games against UF and ND to get here. Now that they're knocking on the door, can they finish the job?

    H2H: 3-0
    Progression: Miami will need to win the rest of their ACC games to have a shot at the title and their 6th star. If they get to the title game, they'll leave with elite status - with or without the trophy.

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    At 8-3, Michigan is in decent shape to make something positive of the season. Losses to Miami, MSU and ND took Michigan out of contention, but wins of Nebraska and Iowa give Big Blue something to feel good about. If they can beat struggling (but over-rated) rival OSU in week 14, Michigan will head into bowl season in the top 10.

    H2H: 0-3
    Progression: Michigan has great shot to finish in the top 15, but I'm (still) not sure if they're a 5-star school (go fuck yourself Sean).

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    MSU started poorly with a loss to UGA, but things turned around for Sparty after a miracle happened in the comeback win over USC in week 3. MSU would go on to beat Notre Dame in week 4 and Michigan in week 9 while winning the rest of their games. They now find themselves on the outside looking in waiting for Oregon or Miami to open the door.

    H2H: 3-1
    Progression: MSU seems to be in no danger of losing their elite status.

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    Once again, one of the most talented teams comes up a hair short. Notre Dame's two losses come by a combined 2 points to keep a would-be contender just out of reach of the title game. With rival USC left on the schedule, a Notre Dame win could put the Domers into the top 5 and in great shape for another BCS appearance (no Army this time).

    H2H: 1-2 (USC week 14)
    Progression: Notre Dame would need to lose two of their last three to have chance of losing a star.

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    There's nothing "rebuilding" about this Oregon team. They're loaded with speed and skill and poised to take back the crown. After a close win over Bama, Oregon outscored their Pac12 user opponents 128-35. Coach Russ has a firm grasp on his system and doesn't make many mistakes (starting QB throwing 74% with 25 TDs and just 7 INTs). Oregon will need to beat USC in the P12 title game first, but look for the Ducks to be back in the show.

    H2H: 4-0
    Progression: Nothing to see here.

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    Losses to USC and the Ducks put the Trees out of reach for the P12 and anything more, but wins over everyone else (including UW and UF) have Stanford in position to make another BCS appearance. If Stanford can get past UCLA in week 14, they'll enter bowl season in the top 5 and poised for a strong finish.

    H2H: 2-2
    Progression: Stanford is an elite school and would need a catastrophic ending to change that.

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    The defending champs got robbed against MSU and gave up too many big plays to stay competitive against Oregon. These losses overshadow great wins over Auburn, Stanford and Washington. USC still has a huge matchups with Notre Dame and then Oregon (again) in the P12 title game to try to sneak back into the title game, but they'll need a little bit of luck and a lot of love from the voters.

    H2H: 3-2
    Progression: USC can earn back that 6th star with a strong finish, but will need to win (at least) two of the their last three to get there.

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    Washington was competitive in all their games (except for the replay of the Oregon game - the first take was much closer), but came up empty on their P12 rotation and look to be finishing the season at 9-3. A trip to San Diego and the Holiday Bowl looks likely for the Huskies.

    H2H: 0-3
    Progression: A top-15 finish is looking promising for UW, which would earn them their 5th star.
     
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