Season One BCS Picture

Discussion in 'Thread Archive' started by OsirisMonster, Oct 11, 2010.

  1. OsirisMonster

    OsirisMonster Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2010
    Messages:
    1,031
    Season One BCS Picture

    ACC
    #9 Virginia Tech 6-1 plays Florida State


    Big Ten
    #5 Ohio State plays Michigan. If they win they win the Big Ten. If they loose things get interesting ending in a three way tie with no clear victor. Ohio State would be 6-2 with loss to Iowa and Michigan but beating Penn State. Penn State would be 6-2 with loss to Ohio State and Northwestern but beating Iowa. Iowa would be 6-2 with loss to Penn State and Wisconsin but beating Ohio State. Not sure what tie breakers EA uses in this case.


    Big 12
    #10 Missouri plays winner of #8 Texas and #18 Texas AM


    Big East
    If #17 Rutgers wins out they win the BCS conference that doesn't matter. If they loose it is a cluster between Rutgers, Cincinnati, Connecticut, West Virginia, and Pittsburgh.


    Pac 10
    If Oregon beats #15 Oregon State they are Pac 10 champs. Otherwise Stanford or Oregon State could win it.


    SEC
    #4 Alabama vs Tennessee

    National Title Game
    #1 Iowa plays Minnesota in a game they should dominate. If they win and Ohio State beats Michigan Iowa could play for a National Title without winning their conference (never has happened and likely never will in real life.)

    Playing against #1 Iowa could be #2 TCU or #4 Alabama (if they can makeup the large .994 vs .977 difference in the BCS.)

    Other BCS
    Pac 10 Champion (Oregon/Oregon State/Stanford)
    Big Ten Champion (Ohio State/Iowa/Penn State)
    Big East (does anyone care?)
    SEC (Alabama/Tennessee)
    Big 12 (Missouri/Texas/Texas AM)
    ACC (Virginia Tech/Florida State)
    At-Large berths (Boise State/Utah)

    This might be the most unrealistic BCS Bowl picture I've ever seen. National Title game contains no team that won a BCS conference and all the At-Large BCS bowl berths going to non-BCS conference teams.
     
  2. OsirisMonster

    OsirisMonster Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2010
    Messages:
    1,031
    Another interesting thing of note. Notre Dame is #7 in the BCS. According to the above senario they do not make it to a BCS bowl game. According to the deal Notre Dame struck with the BCS they are guaranteed a BCS bowl berth if they are in the top 8 at the end of the season. I doubt EA coded that into the game though.
     
  3. carolinaeasy

    carolinaeasy Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2010
    Messages:
    2,418
    Yeah that would be kinda BS seeing as they only have 1 loss.

    BTW HAIL TO THE VICTORS THIS WEEK!
     
  4. carolinaeasy

    carolinaeasy Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2010
    Messages:
    2,418
    Great work here osirisMonster

    Maybe we can make this a weekly installment for season 2. Once the BS is issued you could do a nice little write up.
     
  5. OsirisMonster

    OsirisMonster Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2010
    Messages:
    1,031
    Problem this season is the number of non BCS teams in the top of the polls. Nevada is also going to finish the season undefeated and they won't make it to a BCS game (ranked #12 right now.) Of the top 7 teams in the BCS polls, TCU, Boise State, Utah, and Notre Dame are from non BCS conferences making At-Large berths for BCS conference teams unlikely.
     
  6. bdub

    bdub Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2010
    Messages:
    2,065
    In real life this could not happen as the game between Utah and TCU will knock one of them out of the top 10. Only reason it didnt in the game is Notre Dame is doing much better than they are in real life and Utah beat them keeping them in the hunt.
     
  7. OsirisMonster

    OsirisMonster Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2010
    Messages:
    1,031
    This would never happen in real life because any non-BCS team that suffers 1 loss would tumble in the polls. Also, any team that failed to win a BCS conference wouldn't be in the title game. Just ask Georgia about that when they were passed by Florida for the BCS title spot despite leading Florida in the polls going into championship week. Also, the BCS would likely pass over selecting multiple non-BCS schools to pick lower ranked BCS schools for added revenue the game would bring in. The only reason we saw Boise State vs TCU last year is both were undefeated (and really it was a cop out from the BCS to pit them against each other in the BCS game that doesn't matter one bit.)
     
  8. bdub

    bdub Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2010
    Messages:
    2,065
    Maybe but I doubt it. If in real life Utah lost to the #5 ranked TCU but beat #2 Notre Dame they would be in the top 10 how could the BCS justify them not being there? Now if Boise State lost a game they would certainly be out of the top 10 as they have a really really weak schedule even compared to other non AQ teams.

    The BCS made TCU play BSU because they didn't want to see 2 non AQ teams possibly beat 2 BCS teams in BCS bowl games. That would be a disaster for the BCS.
     
  9. OsirisMonster

    OsirisMonster Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2010
    Messages:
    1,031
    This is the same reason they wouldn't take a one loss non BCS team. Could you imagine if a one loss non BCS team beat an undefeated BCS team? BCS would never let it happen.
     
  10. bdub

    bdub Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2010
    Messages:
    2,065
    At some point they are going to have to take a 1 loss non bcs team. If they keep putting more than one non BCS team in the top 10 then it could happen. Although the only 3 non bcs teams with the rep and the skill is Utah, TCU, and Boise State and Utah is going to the Pac 10 so probably won't happen in the future.
     
  11. OsirisMonster

    OsirisMonster Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2010
    Messages:
    1,031
    Week 14 is here and the BCS picture continues to solidify.

    ACC Title
    #22 Florida State (jv9179razorbacks) plays #21 Virginia Tech (cpu) for the ACC title. Florida State should take the game with ease and win a berth to the Orange Bowl.

    Big Ten
    #5 Ohio State (callmegoose) has clinched the Big Ten title with a convincing 43-0 win over rival Michigan. Ohio State will head to the Rose Bowl (as they are out of the National Title picture) to play the Pac 10 winner.

    Big 12 Title
    #11 Missouri (cpu) will play #8 Texas (cpu). Texas will likely get both starting LT Kyle Hix (probably as of week 14) and starting QB Garrett Gilbert (questionable as of week 14) back for the Big 12 title game and should win easily. Missouri will be playing without starting FS Jasper Simmons (out with a season ending injury.)

    Big Least
    #13 Rutgers (cpu) holds a 1 game lead over Cincinnati (cpu) and Pittsburgh (cpu) going into their Week 14 matchup against West Virginia (cpu.) Should Rutgers beat West Virginia or Pittsburgh loose to Cincinnati in week 14 Rutgers will win the Big Least. If Pittsburgh wins and Rutgers looses, then Pittsburgh wins the conference that no one cares about. Rutgers will likely play without their starting SS Joe Lefeged (out 6 weeks) and their starting LOLB Manny Abreu (doubtful) while Pittsburgh is without starting QB Tino Sunseri (doubtful) and starting C Alex Karabin (questionable.) Good news for Pittsburgh though as starting HB sensation Dion Lewis (probable) should be back for the game.

    Pac 10
    #20 Stanford (cpu) and Washington (cpu) sit atop the Pac 10 with 2 conference loses each. Washington plays Washington State in week 14 and have already beaten Stanford in week 9. A win over rival Washington State will send Washington to the Rose Bowl while a Cougar upset would see Stanford playing for the rights to get decimated by Ohio State. Washington should easily win this game and a Pac 10 title.

    SEC Title
    #19 Tennessee (cpu) will play #4 Alabama (sabo911) in the SEC title game and the rights to play in the Sugar Bowl. Alabama will likely destroy the Volunteers on their way to their second straight SEC title.

    BCS Title Game
    #1 Iowa has a lock on the BCS title game and will likely play #2 TCU (cpu) if TCU can put away a lowly New Mexico (). Should TCU stumble the honor of the BCS title game would fall to #3 Boise State, who still has to play pathetic Utah State ().

    Other BCS Bowl Berths
    Conference winners are projected to be...
    ACC - #22 Florida State
    Big Ten - #5 Ohio State (lock)
    Big 12 - #8 Texas
    Big Least - #13 Rutgers
    Pac 10 - Washington
    SEC - #4 Alabama

    With both teams playing in the BCS title game failing to either win their conference (Iowa) or being from a no name conference (TCU) only two At-Large BCS berths remain. Those will both go to non-BCS conference teams (non-BCS conference teams account for 5 of the top 10 teams in the nation.) Current those will be...
    #3 Boise State
    #6 Notre Dame (just edging past #7 Utah given the strong win over rival USC.)

    Left out in the cold will be...
    #7 Utah
    #9 Nevada (undefeated)
    #10 Oklahoma
    #12 LSU
     
  12. Goose

    Goose Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 20, 2010
    Messages:
    3,164
    Great write up.
     
  13. OnIowa

    OnIowa Zeroes to Heroes

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2010
    Messages:
    1,455
    Great write up!
     
  14. OsirisMonster

    OsirisMonster Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2010
    Messages:
    1,031
    Pittsburgh won the Big Least and gets a BCS bowl berth. Too bad EA didn't code in the ranking requirements for a BCS conference to keep their bowl berth. I don't think the Big Least would have qualified. Pac 10 might not have either.
     
  15. Sabo

    Sabo Z2H Commish

    Joined:
    Feb 13, 2010
    Messages:
    3,763
    Great write up bro. Bama wins sec title.
     
  16. bdub

    bdub Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2010
    Messages:
    2,065
    I didnt think there were any requirements to keep their BCS bowls? Or did that change after Pitt made it the Fiesta bowl in 2004 only ranked 19th.
     
  17. OsirisMonster

    OsirisMonster Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2010
    Messages:
    1,031
    Could have sworn there was something in the BCS bowl berth rules that said if a non BCS conference team won their conference and was ranked with enough (top 12 I'd guess) and a BCS conference winner was from a conference that didn't have a team in the top 20 then the nonBCS conference winner would get the automatic berth over the BCS conference team.

    I remember a few years ago ESPN was talking about it and how the Big East barely kept their berth.
     
  18. bdub

    bdub Walk On

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2010
    Messages:
    2,065
    Could be the case. If its not like that I think it should be.
     

Share This Page