Ok this was just a rough working out of the standings so tell me if I have you down wrong. Sevilla 25 (13) Madrid 24 (15) Zenit 22(15) Villareal 19(13) Bayern 18(14) Hamburg18(14) Dortmund 17(13) Liverpool 15 (15) According to this Sevilla should be going up and At. Madrid control their destiny. Villareal, Dortmund, and Zenit are currently the most likely to move into a promotion spot, while Hamburg and Bayern find them selves in tricky spot just above the drop zone with a game more played then Dortmund. However no body is safe from anything although without looking at the schedule but it appears that from 2nd to 8th any team can go up or down. Edit: I lied Villareal control their own destiny not At. Madrid as if Villareal were to win there next two games they'd be on 25 with 15 played.